Tommy Paul vs Colton Smith — Houston Quarter-final

Houston · ATP · Quarter-final
Tommy Paul
USA1
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
USA
Colton Smith
#186ATP
1577ELO
1476Clay ELO
$154kYTD
$480kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Paul T.
6-1 7-6
Smith C.
Paul T.
6772
Smith C.
1610

Tommy Paul defeated Colton Smith 6-1 7-6 in the Houston quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Smith C.

Smith C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paul T.Smith C.
34
Serve
—
—
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Smith C.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.4
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Smith C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
62
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Dominant
87
52
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Smith C.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
10.0+410 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1476
10.0Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1577
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Smith C.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Smith C.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Brooksby J.
Tiafoe F.[2]
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Tiafoe F.[2]
Nakashima B.[4]
6-47-63
Brooksby J.
Paul T.[1]
7-653-67-66
Quarter-finals
Paul T.[1]
Smith C.
6-17-61
Tiafoe F.[2]
Michelsen A.[5]
7-56-1
Nakashima B.[4]
Eubanks C.
6-46-4
Brooksby J.
Kovacevic A.
2-66-36-4
R16
Eubanks C.
Nishikori K.[8]
6-10-0
Smith C.
Quinn E.
6-36-4
Kovacevic A.
Denolly C.
6-36-3
Nakashima B.[4]
Mcdonald M.
6-17-5
Michelsen A.[5]
Mannarino A.
6-706-46-2
Tiafoe F.[2]
Walton A.
7-56-3
Brooksby J.
Tabilo A.[3]
3-66-47-66
Paul T.[1]
Garin C.
2-66-27-65
R32
Mannarino A.
Hanfmann Y.
7-656-3
Denolly C.
Holt B.
7-677-68
Smith C.
Duckworth J.
6-26-2
Quinn E.
Thompson J.[6]
4-66-46-3
Nishikori K.[8]
Krueger M.
6-46-2
Mcdonald M.
Galan D.
6-26-736-4
Michelsen A.[5]
Tien L.
6-46-2
Walton A.
Mmoh M.
6-37-65
Eubanks C.
Hijikata R.
6-24-66-3
Kovacevic A.
Etcheverry T.[7]
6-36-4
Garin C.
Ritschard A.
6-36-4
Brooksby J.
Daniel T.
6-46-4