Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenHouston Quarter-final

Houston · ATP · Quarter-final
#19ATP
1918ELO
1827Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#46ATP
1825ELO
1694Clay ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Tiafoe F.
7-5 6-1
Michelsen A.
Tiafoe F.
762
Michelsen A.
510

Frances Tiafoe defeated Alex Michelsen 7-5 6-1 in the Houston quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Frances Tiafoe came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-05DallasR16hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.6
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
78
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Slight edge
57
46
Deciding sets·Even
92
91
Tiebreaks·Even
98
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+133 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1694
5.8Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1825
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
8.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
61

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast