Corentin Denolly vs Adrian Mannarino

Houston · ATP · Qualifying Round 2

FRA

Corentin Denolly

#439ATP

1331ELO

1293Clay ELO

29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWLWLLLL

2 — 1

Sets

Monday, 31 March 2025

clay

FRA3

Adrian Mannarino

#49ATP

1673ELO

1488Clay ELO

$633kYTD

$15MCAREER

38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWLLWLWW

Denolly C.

6-4 5-7 7-6

Mannarino A.

Denolly C.

657⁷2

Mannarino A.

476⁵1

Corentin Denolly defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-4 5-7 7-6 in the Houston qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #49.

Key context

Match story: Corentin Denolly edged Adrian Mannarino in three tight sets (6–4 5–7 7–6).

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Denolly C.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Denolly C.

Serve advantage — Mannarino A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season

Denolly C.Mannarino A.

1st serve in·Even

62%

61%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

65%

70%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

43%

51%

Service points won·Slight edge

57%

63%

Return points won·Even

36%

38%

Break points saved·Even

61%

59%

Aces / match·Clear edge

3.0

4.5

Double faults / match·Dominant

4.6

1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (50 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Denolly C.Mannarino A.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Clear edge

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Denolly C.

4.4

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)

Mannarino A.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.5Clay Elo 1293

Surface ELO

7.5+195 Clay Elo edge

0.8Overall Elo 1331

ELO gap

9.2Overall Elo 1673

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0

4.2

Surface form

0.8

0.0

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

Minutes 14d

7.2

3-set count

7.0

9.0

Prev. match

9.0

Surface transition

6.0

Context

5.0

Defending pts

5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.