Jessica Pegula vs Danielle CollinsCharleston Quarter-final

Charleston · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#343WTA
1844ELO
1809Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
Pegula J.
1-6 6-3 6-0
Collins D.
Pegula J.
1662
Collins D.
6301

Jessica Pegula defeated Danielle Collins 1-6 6-3 6-0 in the Charleston quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's semi-final. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR128clayJessica Pegula6-4 6-2
2023-03-20MiamiR32hardJessica Pegula6-1 7-6(0)
2021-08-09MontrealR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Collins D.

Collins D.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Pegula J.Collins D.
67
Serve
22
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
88
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
88
Tiebreaks·Even
96
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+133 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1809
8.2Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1844
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.9
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Minutes 14d
6.8
0.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
8.1
Country comfort
7.7
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 68%