Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gonzalo Bueno — Campinas CH Quarter-final

Campinas CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER4
Juan Pablo Varillas
#308ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
PER8
Gonzalo Bueno
#182ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLL
Varillas J.
6-3 6-1
Bueno G.
Varillas J.
662
Bueno G.
310

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Gonzalo Bueno 6-3 6-1 in the Campinas CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Gonzalo Bueno came in ranked #182, defending last year's round of 32, but Juan Pablo Varillas had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 9 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Bueno G.

Bueno G.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Varillas J.Bueno G.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (74 vs 101). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Varillas J.Bueno G.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
55
45
Break points saved·Dominant
80
29
Break points won·Even
43
45
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
88
Tiebreaks·Even
72
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Varillas J.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Bueno G.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1431
Surface ELO
5.5+38 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1491
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
5.1
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
8.5
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Varillas J.Bueno G.
Freshness·Dominant
49
95

Varillas J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d) · Bueno G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Barrios Vera T.[1]
Guillen Meza A.[7]
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Barrios Vera T.[1]
Varillas J.[4]
6-36-1
Guillen Meza A.[7]
Soto M.[6]
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Soto M.[6]
Dutra Da Silva D.
6-757-656-2
Guillen Meza A.[7]
Prado Angelo J.
6-22-66-1
Barrios Vera T.[1]
Ribeiro E.
6-36-3
Varillas J.[4]
Bueno G.[8]
6-36-1
R16
Dutra Da Silva D.
Mena F.[2]
6-26-2
Varillas J.[4]
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-747-56-2
Barrios Vera T.[1]
Reis Da Silva J.
7-52-66-2
Ribeiro E.
Couacaud E.[5]
6-26-4
Bueno G.[8]
Sakamoto P.
6-34-66-0
Guillen Meza A.[7]
Kestelboim M.
6-27-5
Soto M.[6]
Huertas Del Pino C.
4-66-47-62
Prado Angelo J.
Collarini A.[3]
2-66-26-1
R32
Reis Da Silva J.
Olivo R.
6-36-2
Barrios Vera T.[1]
Ambrogi L.
6-14-66-4
Ribeiro E.
Boscardin Dias P.
6-37-5
Varillas J.[4]
Torres J.
6-47-5
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Mochizuki Y.
6-26-2
Kestelboim M.
Justo G.
7-56-1
Collarini A.[3]
Pereira J.
6-46-3
Soto M.[6]
Villanueva G.
7-646-3
Dutra Da Silva D.
Camargo Lima E.
6-36-4
Mena F.[2]
Jones M.
6-26-4
Bueno G.[8]
Nunez D.
6-24-66-3
Guillen Meza A.[7]
De Almeida G.
6-46-4
Prado Angelo J.
Nesterov P.
6-26-4
Huertas Del Pino C.
Albieri G.
4-66-16-2
Couacaud E.[5]
Bertola R.
6-46-0
Sakamoto P.
Monzon I.
6-46-2