Jenson Brooksby vs Frances TiafoeHouston Final

Houston · ATP · Final
#81ATP
1694ELO
1607Clay ELO
$530kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#19ATP
1918ELO
1827Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Brooksby J.
6-4 6-2
Tiafoe F.
Brooksby J.
662
Tiafoe F.
420

Jenson Brooksby defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-4 6-2 in the Houston final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, defending last year's final. Jenson Brooksby extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-2
2022-07-25AtlantaSFhardJenson Brooksby6-1 6-4
2021-08-02WashingtonR32hardJenson Brooksby7-6(4) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Brooksby J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Brooksby J.

Serve advantage — Tiafoe F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
7.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
83
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Clear edge
78
57
Deciding sets·Even
95
92
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1607
Surface ELO
6.9+220 Clay Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1918
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
68

Brooksby J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast