Jenson Brooksby vs Tommy PaulHouston Semi-final

Houston · ATP · Semi-final
#81ATP
1694ELO
1607Clay ELO
$530kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#25ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Brooksby J.
7-6 3-6 7-6
Paul T.
Brooksby J.
773782
Paul T.
656661

Jenson Brooksby defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 3-6 7-6 in the Houston semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Jenson Brooksby claimed a first win over Tommy Paul in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jenson Brooksby closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasR32hardTommy Paul4-6 6-4 7-6(4)
2025-02-03DallasR32hardTommy Paul6-7(6) 6-3 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardTommy Paul6-1 6-4 6-3
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersR64hardTommy Paul6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Brooksby J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Brooksby J.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Brooksby J.Paul T.
Serve
34
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
6.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
93
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
78
87
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1607
Surface ELO
7.6+278 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
84

Brooksby J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast