Sebastian Baez vs Gabriel DialloBucharest Round of 16

Bucharest · ATP · Round of 16
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#88ATP
1716ELO
1629Clay ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Baez S.
7-6 2-6 6-2
Diallo G.
Baez S.
77262
Diallo G.
65621

Sebastian Baez defeated Gabriel Diallo 7-6 2-6 6-2 in the Bucharest round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #57. Sebastian Baez claimed a first win over Gabriel Diallo in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Baez closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR64hardGabriel Diallo7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Diallo G.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Diallo G.
1
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
8.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (79 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
64
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
86
24
Deciding sets·Even
88
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+89 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1629
5.2Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1716
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
6.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
6.1
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
83

Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Diallo G.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast