Flavio Cobolli vs Sebastian BaezBucharest Final

Bucharest · ATP · Final
#9ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 March 2025
clay
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Cobolli F.
6-4 6-4
Baez S.
Cobolli F.
662
Baez S.
440

Flavio Cobolli defeated Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-4 in the Bucharest final on clay. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9.

Key context

  • Match story: Flavio Cobolli edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve advantage — Baez S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cobolli F.Baez S.
53
Serve
7
56
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
87
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
35
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+145 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1718
6.8Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
8.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
71
100

Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Baez S.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast