Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Elias Ymer — Naples CH Round of 16

Naples CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
BOL
Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
1379ELO
1368Clay ELO
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
clay
Elias Ymer
SWE
Elias Ymer
#183ATP
1548ELO
1492Clay ELO
$191kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
Dellien Velasco M.
7-6 3-6 6-0
Ymer E.
Dellien Velasco M.
77362
Ymer E.
64601

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco defeated Elias Ymer 7-6 3-6 6-0 in the Naples CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elias Ymer came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Dellien Velasco M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ymer E.

Ymer E.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Dellien Velasco M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Dellien Velasco M.Ymer E.
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dellien Velasco M.Ymer E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
19
48
Break points saved·Dominant
28
83
Break points won·Even
19
23
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
28
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dellien Velasco M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Ymer E.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1368
Surface ELO
6.9+124 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1379
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1548
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
3.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Dellien Velasco M.Ymer E.
Freshness·
—
100

Ymer E.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Kopriva V.
Darderi L.[1]
3-66-37-64
Semi-finals
Kopriva V.
Pellegrino A.
7-56-3
Darderi L.[1]
Svrcina D.
1-66-27-5
Quarter-finals
Darderi L.[1]
Wawrinka S.
6-36-4
Svrcina D.
Dellien Velasco M.
6-16-3
Kopriva V.
Arnaboldi F.
6-34-66-3
Pellegrino A.
Herbert P.
4-67-666-3
R16
Darderi L.[1]
Nagal S.
6-06-1
Wawrinka S.
Coric B.[7]
6-26-3
Pellegrino A.
Onclin G.
7-56-3
Herbert P.
Rehberg M.
7-56-4
Arnaboldi F.
Jianu F.
2-66-16-4
Kopriva V.
Hemery C.
6-16-3
Svrcina D.
Tseng C.[8]
6-37-5
Dellien Velasco M.
Ymer E.
7-643-66-0
R32
Rehberg M.
Seyboth Wild T.[4]
3-66-36-4
Darderi L.[1]
Agamenone F.
6-26-3
Nagal S.
Ajdukovic D.
7-666-4
Wawrinka S.
Gojo B.
6-26-3
Coric B.[7]
Mayot H.
6-46-2
Ymer E.
Passaro F.[3]
6-766-37-5
Dellien Velasco M.
Maestrelli F.
6-36-4
Arnaboldi F.
Boyer T.[6]
1-66-37-5
Jianu F.
Zeppieri G.
3-66-16-0
Hemery C.
Kovalik J.
7-56-0
Svrcina D.
Fonio G.
6-726-27-5
Tseng C.[8]
Barrere G.
6-47-66
Onclin G.
Fognini F.[5]
6-34-67-5
Pellegrino A.
Evans D.
6-31-66-4
Herbert P.
Barton H.
6-17-5
Kopriva V.
Collignon R.[2]
6-46-3