Heather Watson vs Marina Stakusic — Puerto Vallarta 125 Quarter-final

Puerto Vallarta 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Heather Watson
GBR
Heather Watson
#470WTA
1572ELO
1548Hard ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
hard
CAN
Marina Stakusic
#138WTA
1707ELO
1672Hard ELO
21 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Watson H.
6-3 6-1
Stakusic M.
Watson H.
662
Stakusic M.
31–

Heather Watson defeated Marina Stakusic 6-3 6-1 in the Puerto Vallarta 125 quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marina Stakusic came in ranked #138.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Watson H.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Stakusic M.

Stakusic M.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Watson H.Stakusic M.
1st serve in·Even
57%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Watson H.Stakusic M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
61
Break points saved·Dominant
43
73
Break points won·Dominant
62
94
Deciding sets·Even
50
54
Tiebreaks·
12
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Watson H.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Stakusic M.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1548
Surface ELO
6.6+124 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1572
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1707
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
3.4
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Watson H.Stakusic M.
Freshness·
100
—

Watson H.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Cristian J.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-56-4
Semi-finals
Cristian J.
Masarova R.
2-66-37-65
Fruhvirtova L.
Watson H.
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Cristian J.
Maria T.
6-16-1
Masarova R.
Inglis M.
6-12-66-2
Watson H.
Stakusic M.
6-36-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Joint M.
6-756-46-4
R16
Cristian J.
Shibahara E.
3-66-46-3
Maria T.
Burrage J.
2-66-36-2
Masarova R.
Pera B.
5-76-36-4
Inglis M.
Andreeva E.
6-46-2
Watson H.
Sorribes Tormo S.
3-66-46-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Saville D.
4-66-36-4
Joint M.
Hon P.
6-46-1
Stakusic M.
Cocciaretto E.
W/O
R32
Cristian J.
Dart H.
6-36-2
Shibahara E.
Chang H.
6-06-3
Maria T.
Stefanini L.
6-26-2
Pera B.
Contreras Gomez F.
6-16-4
Masarova R.
Lepchenko V.
6-36-4
Inglis M.
Appleton E.
6-16-2
Andreeva E.
Martinez Solis C.
6-16-1
Sorribes Tormo S.
Kalashnikova O.
6-36-1
Watson H.
Osuigwe W.
6-06-3
Stakusic M.
Konjuh A.
6-37-5
Cocciaretto E.
Mchale C.
6-36-3
Hon P.
Sawangkaew M.
6-35-76-3
Joint M.
Zhao C.
6-33-66-4
Saville D.
Gadecki O.
4-66-46-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Baptiste H.
W/O
Burrage J.
Marino R.
6-47-64