Bernard Tomic vs Shintaro Mochizuki — Morelia CH Round of 32

Morelia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Bernard Tomic
AUS
Bernard Tomic
#206ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
hard
Shintaro Mochizuki
JPN6
Shintaro Mochizuki
#115ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Tomic B.
6-1 6-7 6-4
Mochizuki S.
Tomic B.
66362
Mochizuki S.
17741

Bernard Tomic defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-1 6-7 6-4 in the Morelia CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #115.

Key context

  • Match story: Bernard Tomic came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tomic B.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Tomic B.Mochizuki S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tomic B.Mochizuki S.
Clutch Rating·Even
53
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
74
Break points won·Dominant
4
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
74
47
Tiebreaks·Even
79
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tomic B.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Mochizuki S.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+16 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1425
5.1Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
6.2
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tomic B.Mochizuki S.
Freshness·Even
84
86

Tomic B.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Popko D.
Duckworth J.[1]
1-66-26-4
Semi-finals
Popko D.
Grenier H.
6-26-1
Duckworth J.[1]
Zhukayev B.
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Duckworth J.[1]
Hernandez Serrano J.
6-47-66
Zhukayev B.
Huesler M.
6-36-726-4
Popko D.
Tirante T.[4]
6-16-4
Grenier H.
Tomic B.
2-67-646-2
R16
Tomic B.
Lajal M.
6-23-67-66
Hernandez Serrano J.
Ficovich J.[8]
7-56-2
Duckworth J.[1]
Zink T.
7-56-3
Huesler M.
Trotter J.
6-46-4
Zhukayev B.
Meligeni Alves F.
7-656-4
Grenier H.
Eubanks C.[2]
6-46-4
Popko D.
Mannarino A.[5]
6-26-3
Tirante T.[4]
Cassone M.
6-36-746-3
R32
Duckworth J.[1]
Rubio Fierros A.
6-16-3
Hernandez Serrano J.
Mejia N.
6-43-66-4
Ficovich J.[8]
Svajda Z.
6-46-3
Meligeni Alves F.
Galarneau A.[7]
4-67-646-4
Tirante T.[4]
Neuchrist M.
7-676-4
Zhukayev B.
Rodionov J.
6-16-3
Popko D.
Atmane T.
7-666-746-3
Trotter J.
Mccabe J.
6-797-617-63
Eubanks C.[2]
Lestienne C.
6-43-0
Huesler M.
Holt B.[3]
6-46-1
Zink T.
Perez A.
6-47-63
Tomic B.
Mochizuki S.[6]
6-16-736-4
Mannarino A.[5]
Napolitano S.
6-36-2
Lajal M.
Pacheco Mendez R.
6-17-66
Grenier H.
Pannu K.
6-46-4
Cassone M.
Ejupovic E.
4-66-36-2