Dmitry Popko vs Adrian MannarinoMorelia CH Round of 16

Morelia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#629ATP
1385ELO
1400Hard ELO
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
hard
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Popko D.
6-2 6-3
Mannarino A.
Popko D.
662
Mannarino A.
230

Dmitry Popko defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-3 in the Morelia CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #49.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Popko D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Popko D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popko D.Mannarino A.
Serve
37
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
65
Break points saved·Dominant
54
96
Break points won·Dominant
17
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1400
Surface ELO
8.0+248 Hard Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1385
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
0.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
7.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
77

Popko D.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast