Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco vs Francesco MaestrelliNaples CH Round of 32

Naples CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
1379ELO
1368Clay ELO
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
clay
#149ATP
1538ELO
1466Clay ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Dellien Velasco M.
6-3 6-4
Maestrelli F.
Dellien Velasco M.
662
Maestrelli F.
340

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco defeated Francesco Maestrelli 6-3 6-4 in the Naples CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in defending last year's round of 16, but Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Dellien Velasco M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Maestrelli F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Dellien Velasco M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
6.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
19
56
Break points saved·Dominant
28
83
Break points won·Slight edge
19
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1368
Surface ELO
6.6+98 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1379
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1538
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
2.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Maestrelli F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast