Nicolas Kicker vs Matias SotoConcepcion CH Semi-final

Concepcion CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#327ATP
1385ELO
1373Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
clay
#296ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Kicker N.
4-6 7-5 6-3
Soto M.
Kicker N.
4762
Soto M.
6531

Nicolas Kicker defeated Matias Soto 4-6 7-5 6-3 in the Concepcion CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matias Soto came in ranked #296, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kicker N.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Soto M.

Soto M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kicker N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
68%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 63). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
30
34
Break points saved·Slight edge
56
51
Break points won·Dominant
45
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
30
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
51
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1373
Surface ELO
6.6+39 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1385
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1421
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
4.0
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.3
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
55

Kicker N.: 15 days rest · Soto M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast