Julia Riera vs Katarzyna KawaW75 Vacaria Quarter-final

W75 Vacaria · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#175WTA
1563ELO
1533Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
clay
#142WTA
1664ELO
1662Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Riera J.
2-6 6-2 6-3
Kawa K.
Riera J.
2662
Kawa K.
6231

Julia Riera defeated Katarzyna Kawa 2-6 6-2 6-3 in the W75 Vacaria quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Katarzyna Kawa came in ranked #142.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Riera J.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Kawa K.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Riera J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
51
Break points saved·Dominant
49
15
Break points won·Clear edge
73
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
39
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
27
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1533
Surface ELO
6.8+129 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1563
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1664
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Riera J.: 20 days rest · Kawa K.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast