Hugo Grenier vs Bernard TomicMorelia CH Quarter-final

Morelia CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#221ATP
1548ELO
1523Hard ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
hard
#206ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
Grenier H.
2-6 7-6 6-2
Tomic B.
Grenier H.
27762
Tomic B.
66421

Hugo Grenier defeated Bernard Tomic 2-6 7-6 6-2 in the Morelia CH quarter-final on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Grenier H.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Tomic B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Grenier H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.7
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
37
53
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
92
Break points won·Even
8
4
Deciding sets·Slight edge
65
74
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+82 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1441
5.8Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1475
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
4.7
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
81

Grenier H.: 21 days rest · Tomic B.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast