Dmitry Popko vs James DuckworthMorelia CH Final

Morelia CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#629ATP
1385ELO
1400Hard ELO
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
hard
#74ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$485kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Popko D.
1-6 6-2 6-4
Duckworth J.
Popko D.
1662
Duckworth J.
6241

Dmitry Popko defeated James Duckworth 1-6 6-2 6-4 in the Morelia CH final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — James Duckworth came in ranked #74.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Popko D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Duckworth J.

Duckworth J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Popko D.

Serve advantage — Duckworth J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popko D.Duckworth J.
Serve
25
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
7.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
55
Break points saved·Dominant
54
97
Break points won·Clear edge
17
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1400
Surface ELO
7.6+192 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1385
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1628
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
3.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
89

Popko D.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Duckworth J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast