Juan Pablo Varillas vs Hernan Casanova — Concepcion CH Round of 32

Concepcion CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER
Juan Pablo Varillas
#308ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
clay
Hernan Casanova
ARG
Hernan Casanova
#409ATP
1393ELO
1381Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Varillas J.
6-2 7-5
Casanova H.
Varillas J.
672
Casanova H.
250

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Hernan Casanova 6-2 7-5 in the Concepcion CH round of 32 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Casanova H.

Casanova H.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Varillas J.Casanova H.
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
0.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (74 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Varillas J.Casanova H.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
8
Break points saved·Dominant
80
24
Break points won·Clear edge
43
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
66
32
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Varillas J.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Casanova H.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+50 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1381
5.9Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1393
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
1.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
9.2
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Varillas J.Casanova H.
Freshness·Even
58
55

Varillas J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d) · Casanova H.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 116 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Nava E.[8]
Kicker N.
6-17-63
Semi-finals
Kicker N.
Soto M.
4-67-56-3
Nava E.[8]
Olivieri G.
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Soto M.
Burruchaga R.[3]
7-56-4
Nava E.[8]
Reis Da Silva J.
6-26-3
Olivieri G.
Galan D.[2]
7-686-4
Kicker N.
Justo G.
6-41-66-1
R16
Kicker N.
Varillas J.
6-06-1
Burruchaga R.[3]
Huertas Del Pino C.
6-14-66-3
Soto M.
Aboian V.
7-653-66-1
Nava E.[8]
Bueno G.
6-06-3
Olivieri G.
Collarini A.[7]
6-737-656-3
Justo G.
Olivo R.
7-56-4
Reis Da Silva J.
Boscardin Dias P.
2-67-56-3
Galan D.[2]
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-46-3
R32
Olivo R.
Villalon N.
6-36-3
Varillas J.
Casanova H.
6-27-5
Kicker N.
Vallejo A.[6]
6-16-1
Burruchaga R.[3]
Torres J.
6-27-5
Huertas Del Pino C.
Orlov V.
6-37-64
Soto M.
Nesterov P.
6-16-4
Bueno G.
Dedura Palomero D.
6-36-2
Boscardin Dias P.
Couacaud E.
7-694-66-4
Reis Da Silva J.
Barrios Vera T.[4]
6-36-2
Olivieri G.
Villanueva G.
7-56-1
Galan D.[2]
Bertola R.
6-36-1
Aboian V.
Mena F.[5]
6-35-76-1
Nava E.[8]
Dutra Da Silva D.
6-26-4
Justo G.
Mochizuki Y.
6-36-1
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Guillen Meza A.
6-26-3
Collarini A.[7]
Pereira J.
6-17-5