Tatjana Maria vs Jodie BurragePuerto Vallarta 125 Round of 16

Puerto Vallarta 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#76WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
hard
#920WTA
1484ELO
1481Hard ELO
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLLL
Maria T.
2-6 6-3 6-2
Burrage J.
Maria T.
2662
Burrage J.
6321

Tatjana Maria defeated Jodie Burrage 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the Puerto Vallarta 125 round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #76.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maria T.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Burrage J.

Burrage J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Maria T.Burrage J.
9
Serve
13
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
13
9
Break points saved·Clear edge
31
44
Break points won·Clear edge
78
65
Deciding sets·Slight edge
9
4
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
58
45

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+128 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1481
6.4Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1484
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
4.5
Surface form
3.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Maria T.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast