Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Alvaro Guillen MezaConcepcion CH Round of 32

Concepcion CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#397ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
clay
#276ATP
1442ELO
1412Clay ELO
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLLL
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-2 6-3
Guillen Meza A.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
662
Guillen Meza A.
230

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Alvaro Guillen Meza 6-2 6-3 in the Concepcion CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alvaro Guillen Meza came in ranked #276, defending last year's quarter-final, but Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

wins 53% of points on serve vs Guillen Meza A.

Guillen Meza A.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Pucinelli De Almeida M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
5
19
Break points saved·Slight edge
36
43
Break points won·Even
43
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
36
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
1
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1404
Surface ELO
6.6+8 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1442
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
5.8
Surface form
5.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.1
Minutes 14d
5.4
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
55
90

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d) · Guillen Meza A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast