Matias Soto vs Valerio Aboian — Concepcion CH Round of 16

Concepcion CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
CHI
Matias Soto
#296ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
clay
ARG
Valerio Aboian
#442ATP
1348ELO
1339Clay ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Soto M.
7-6 3-6 6-1
Aboian V.
Soto M.
77362
Aboian V.
65611

Matias Soto defeated Valerio Aboian 7-6 3-6 6-1 in the Concepcion CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Matias Soto came in ranked #296, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Matias Soto came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Soto M.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Aboian V.

Aboian V.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Soto M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Soto M.Aboian V.
1st serve in·Even
55%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
39%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Soto M.Aboian V.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
34
12
Break points saved·Clear edge
51
39
Break points won·Clear edge
14
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
18
Tiebreaks·
56
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Soto M.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Aboian V.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+73 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1339
6.9Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1348
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
8.3
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Soto M.Aboian V.
Freshness·Dominant
55
81

Soto M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Aboian V.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Nava E.[8]
Kicker N.
6-17-63
Semi-finals
Kicker N.
Soto M.
4-67-56-3
Nava E.[8]
Olivieri G.
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Soto M.
Burruchaga R.[3]
7-56-4
Nava E.[8]
Reis Da Silva J.
6-26-3
Olivieri G.
Galan D.[2]
7-686-4
Kicker N.
Justo G.
6-41-66-1
R16
Kicker N.
Varillas J.
6-06-1
Burruchaga R.[3]
Huertas Del Pino C.
6-14-66-3
Soto M.
Aboian V.
7-653-66-1
Nava E.[8]
Bueno G.
6-06-3
Olivieri G.
Collarini A.[7]
6-737-656-3
Justo G.
Olivo R.
7-56-4
Reis Da Silva J.
Boscardin Dias P.
2-67-56-3
Galan D.[2]
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-46-3
R32
Olivo R.
Villalon N.
6-36-3
Varillas J.
Casanova H.
6-27-5
Kicker N.
Vallejo A.[6]
6-16-1
Burruchaga R.[3]
Torres J.
6-27-5
Huertas Del Pino C.
Orlov V.
6-37-64
Soto M.
Nesterov P.
6-16-4
Bueno G.
Dedura Palomero D.
6-36-2
Boscardin Dias P.
Couacaud E.
7-694-66-4
Reis Da Silva J.
Barrios Vera T.[4]
6-36-2
Olivieri G.
Villanueva G.
7-56-1
Galan D.[2]
Bertola R.
6-36-1
Aboian V.
Mena F.[5]
6-35-76-1
Nava E.[8]
Dutra Da Silva D.
6-26-4
Justo G.
Mochizuki Y.
6-36-1
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Guillen Meza A.
6-26-3
Collarini A.[7]
Pereira J.
6-17-5