Casper Ruud vs Alejandro TabiloMiami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Ruud C.
6-4 7-6
Tabilo A.
Ruud C.
6772
Tabilo A.
4640

Casper Ruud defeated Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 7-6 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR32clayCasper Ruud6-2 6-4
2020-02-24SantiagoR16clayCasper Ruud6-4 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruud C.Tabilo A.
59
Serve
51
31
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
67%
66%
Aces / match·Even
6.0
5.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
74
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Clear edge
75
59
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+139 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1750
6.1Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1819
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
3.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
7.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.1
Country comfort
5.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
97

Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tabilo A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%