Tomas Machac vs Reilly OpelkaMiami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#53ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Machac T.
7-6 6-3
Opelka R.
Machac T.
7762
Opelka R.
6130

Tomas Machac defeated Reilly Opelka 7-6 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tomas Machac came in ranked #53, defending last year's quarter-final. Tomas Machac extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersR64hardReilly Opelka7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardTomas Machac3-6 7-6(1) 6-7(5) 7-6(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Opelka R.
30
Serve
86
25
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
29%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
16.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
90
63
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
80
1
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
88
Tiebreaks·Even
97
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+96 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1734
6.0Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1749
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
6.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
6.6
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%