Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yannick HanfmannMiami Masters Qualifying Round 1

Miami Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#56ATP
1781ELO
1721Hard ELO
$596kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLL
Mochizuki S.
7-6 6-4
Hanfmann Y.
Mochizuki S.
7762
Hanfmann Y.
6540

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Yannick Hanfmann 7-6 6-4 in the Miami Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yannick Hanfmann came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Shintaro Mochizuki claimed a first win over Yannick Hanfmann in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersQ1hardYannick Hanfmann6-3 7-5
2025-09-12Davis Cup QLS R2: GER vs JPNRRhardYannick Hanfmann6-3 6-3
2024-09-18ChengduR32hardYannick Hanfmann6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Hanfmann Y.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Serve advantage — Hanfmann Y.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mochizuki S.Hanfmann Y.
Serve
58
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
67%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.2
6.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
61
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
95
Break points won·Dominant
55
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1425
Surface ELO
8.5+296 Hard Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1781
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.7
Surface form
5.3
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
91

Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Hanfmann Y.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%