Arthur Fils vs Alexander ZverevMiami Masters Round of 16

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#24ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Fils A.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Zverev A.
Fils A.
3662
Zverev A.
6341

Arthur Fils defeated Alexander Zverev 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's semi-final, but Arthur Fils had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Arthur Fils narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-3
2025-05-07Rome MastersR16clayAlexander Zverev7-6(3) 6-1
2024-10-28Paris MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev6-4 3-6 6-3
2024-07-15HamburgFclayArthur Fils6-3 3-6 7-6(1)
2024-06-17HalleQFgrassAlexander Zverev6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2023-07-24HamburgSFclayAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Fils A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Fils A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fils A.Zverev A.
56
Serve
71
30
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
7.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
94
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
70
90
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1930
Surface ELO
5.9+112 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 2001
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 2100
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
6.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
8.1
0.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
4.0
Country comfort
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
88
45

Fils A.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%