Jakub Mensik vs Novak DjokovicMiami Masters Final

Miami Masters · ATP · Final
#18ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWLL
Mensik J.
7-6 7-6
Djokovic N.
Mensik J.
77772
Djokovic N.
64640

Jakub Mensik defeated Novak Djokovic 7-6 7-6 in the Miami Masters final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jakub Mensik claimed a first win over Novak Djokovic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersQFhardNovak Djokovic6-7(4) 6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mensik J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mensik J.Djokovic N.
42
Serve
68
51
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.8
8.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
99
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
77
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1893
Surface ELO
6.7+129 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 2059
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.5
Surface form
6.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
2.8
Minutes 14d
8.8
0.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
7.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
78
40

Mensik J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 44 games (7d) · Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 139 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Mensik J.
Djokovic N.[4]
7-647-64