Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Flavio CobolliMiami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#61ATP
1741ELO
1636Hard ELO
$714kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Tirante T.
6-1 3-6 6-3
Cobolli F.
Tirante T.
6362
Cobolli F.
1631

Thiago Agustin Tirante defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-1 3-6 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9, defending last year's round of 64, but Thiago Agustin Tirante had arrived on a 6-match winning run. Thiago Agustin Tirante extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-11Rome MastersR32clayThiago Agustin Tirante3-6 4-6

Serve vs return

This season
Tirante T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Tirante T.

Serve advantage — Tirante T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tirante T.Cobolli F.
Serve
20
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.9
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (107 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
44
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
96
Break points won·Slight edge
29
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
44
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1636
Surface ELO
7.4+174 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1896
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
2.0
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.1
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
66

Tirante T.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cobolli F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%