Grigor Dimitrov vs Francisco CerundoloMiami Masters Quarter-final

Miami Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#146ATP
1744ELO
1736Hard ELO
$307kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#21ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Dimitrov G.
6-7 6-4 7-6
Cerundolo F.
Dimitrov G.
666772
Cerundolo F.
784631

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-7 6-4 7-6 in the Miami Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #21, defending last year's round of 32. Grigor Dimitrov extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-19Queen's ClubR16grassGrigor Dimitrov6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Dimitrov G.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Dimitrov G.

Serve advantage — Cerundolo F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Dimitrov G.Cerundolo F.
Serve
13
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
88
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
66
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
6.5+145 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
7.3
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
5.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.5
Country comfort
5.5
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
97

Dimitrov G.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 103 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%