Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Carballes Baena — Miami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Brandon Nakashima
USA31
Brandon Nakashima
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
Roberto Carballes Baena
ESP
Roberto Carballes Baena
#163ATP
1632ELO
1592Hard ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Nakashima B.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Carballes Baena R.
Nakashima B.
6462
Carballes Baena R.
4631

Brandon Nakashima defeated Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Carballes Baena R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve advantage — Nakashima B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Carballes Baena R.
61
Serve
—
23
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Nakashima B.Carballes Baena R.
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Nakashima B.Carballes Baena R.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
93
Break points won·Dominant
13
58
Deciding sets·Even
64
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nakashima B.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Carballes Baena R.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+195 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1592
7.3Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1632
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.9
Country comfort
3.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nakashima B.Carballes Baena R.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Carballes Baena R.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Mensik J.
Djokovic N.[4]
7-647-64
Semi-finals
Mensik J.
Fritz T.[3]
7-644-67-64
Djokovic N.[4]
Dimitrov G.[14]
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Djokovic N.[4]
Korda S.[24]
6-37-64
Dimitrov G.[14]
Cerundolo F.[23]
6-766-47-63
Mensik J.
Fils A.[17]
7-656-1
Fritz T.[3]
Berrettini M.[29]
7-56-777-5
R16
Mensik J.
Machac T.[20]
W/O
Fils A.[17]
Zverev A.[1]
3-66-36-4
Berrettini M.[29]
De Minaur A.[10]
6-37-67
Dimitrov G.[14]
Nakashima B.[31]
6-47-5
Cerundolo F.[23]
Ruud C.[5]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[4]
Musetti L.[15]
6-26-2
Korda S.[24]
Monfils G.
6-42-66-4
Fritz T.[3]
Walton A.
6-37-5
R32
Zverev A.[1]
Thompson J.
7-56-4
Machac T.[20]
Opelka R.
7-616-3
Berrettini M.[29]
Bergs Z.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[3]
Shapovalov D.[27]
7-56-3
Monfils G.
Munar J.
7-55-77-61
De Minaur A.[10]
Fonseca J.
5-77-56-3
Korda S.[24]
Tsitsipas S.[9]
7-646-3
Djokovic N.[4]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-17-61
Fils A.[17]
Tiafoe F.[16]
7-6115-76-2
Walton A.
Wong C.
7-664-66-4
Musetti L.[15]
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
4-66-26-3
Nakashima B.[31]
Goffin D.
6-36-756-3
Dimitrov G.[14]
Khachanov K.[22]
6-736-47-5
Cerundolo F.[23]
Paul T.[12]
6-27-64
Ruud C.[5]
Tabilo A.[30]
6-47-64
Mensik J.
Safiullin R.
6-46-4
R64
Thompson J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[28]
7-647-61
Musetti L.[15]
Halys Q.
3-67-647-5
Fils A.[17]
Diallo G.
6-42-3
Wong C.
Shelton B.[13]
7-632-67-65
Mensik J.
Draper J.[6]
7-627-63
Walton A.
Darderi L.
6-46-4
Monfils G.
Lehecka J.[26]
6-13-67-68
Korda S.[24]
Spizzirri E.
6-46-2
Zverev A.[1]
Fearnley J.
6-26-4
Dimitrov G.[14]
Cina F.
6-16-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-57-65
Ugo Carabelli C.
Michelsen A.[32]
6-737-56-3
Shapovalov D.[27]
Tirante T.
6-36-717-63
Fritz T.[3]
Sonego L.
7-626-3
Opelka R.
Rune H.[11]
4-66-37-65
Machac T.[20]
Arnaldi M.
6-21-66-3
Berrettini M.[29]
Gaston H.
4-66-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
Schoolkate T.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Humbert U.[19]
6-46-3
Munar J.
Medvedev D.[7]
6-26-3
Djokovic N.[4]
Hijikata R.
6-07-61
Bergs Z.
Rublev A.[8]
7-56-4
Tabilo A.[30]
Moutet C.
5-76-37-5
Safiullin R.
Popyrin A.[25]
6-746-37-5
Ruud C.[5]
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Tseng C.
4-67-56-3
Cerundolo F.[23]
Muller A.
6-16-2
Paul T.[12]
Bublik A.
5-77-56-4
Khachanov K.[22]
Kyrgios N.
7-636-0
Goffin D.
Alcaraz C.[2]
5-76-46-3
Nakashima B.[31]
Carballes Baena R.
6-44-66-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Yunchaokete B.
6-46-4
R128
Moutet C.
Blockx A.
7-656-4
Goffin D.
Vukic A.
2-66-46-2
Bergs Z.
Borges N.
7-627-5
Gaston H.
Nishioka Y.
6-43-1
Cina F.
Comesana F.
7-647-62
Thompson J.
Giron M.
3-66-47-5
Hijikata R.
Medjedovic H.
7-53-67-5
Fearnley J.
Bonzi B.
7-662-66-4
Mensik J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-43-66-1
Fonseca J.
Tien L.
6-716-36-4
Yunchaokete B.
Norrie C.
6-46-2
Arnaldi M.
Wu Y.
7-634-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Struff J.
7-636-3
Ugo Carabelli C.
Holt B.
2-67-656-4
Schoolkate T.
Quinn E.
6-06-2
Tseng C.
Bellucci M.
7-656-2
Halys Q.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-4
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Brooksby J.
6-33-66-3
Munar J.
Rinderknech A.
6-37-65
Sonego L.
Navone M.
7-57-5
Darderi L.
Martinez P.
6-46-1
Muller A.
Sakamoto R.
6-46-4
Wong C.
Altmaier D.
6-46-3
Spizzirri E.
Harris B.
7-623-66-2
Tirante T.
Cobolli F.
6-13-66-3
Monfils G.
Marozsan F.
6-33-66-4
Bublik A.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Kyrgios N.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-36-4
Carballes Baena R.
Oconnell C.
6-33-67-65
Diallo G.
Etcheverry T.
6-36-0
Opelka R.
Eubanks C.
6-37-64