Tomas Machac vs Matteo ArnaldiMiami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#49ATP
1866ELO
1829Hard ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Machac T.
6-2 1-6 6-3
Arnaldi M.
Machac T.
6162
Arnaldi M.
2631

Tomas Machac defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 1-6 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tomas Machac came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Tomas Machac extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Tomas Machac closed it out in three sets, 6–2 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18Miami MastersR16hardTomas Machac6-3 6-3
2023-02-27DubaiQ2hardTomas Machac6-0 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Machac T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Machac T.Arnaldi M.
30
Serve
23
25
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Even
6.0
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (56 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
90
78
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Dominant
80
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
86
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+97 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1732
6.5Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1830
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.7
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%