Viktoriya Tomova vs Caty Mcnally — Miami Round of 128

Miami · WTA · Round of 128
Viktoriya Tomova
BUL
Viktoriya Tomova
#174WTA
1626ELO
1586Hard ELO
31 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
hard
Caty Mcnally
USA
Caty Mcnally
#50WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Tomova V.
6-3 2-6 6-3
Mcnally C.
Tomova V.
6262
Mcnally C.
3631

Viktoriya Tomova defeated Caty Mcnally 6-3 2-6 6-3 in the Miami round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Caty Mcnally came in ranked #50.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tomova V.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Tomova V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tomova V.Mcnally C.
—
Serve
26
—
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Tomova V.Mcnally C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tomova V.Mcnally C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
28
73
Break points saved·Dominant
30
73
Break points won·Slight edge
88
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
74
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tomova V.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Mcnally C.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1586
Surface ELO
6.6+145 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1626
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1817
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
3.8
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
8.3
9.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tomova V.Mcnally C.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Tomova V.: 18 days rest · Mcnally C.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pegula J.[4]
7-56-2
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.[6]
6-26-2
Pegula J.[4]
Eala A.
7-635-76-3
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[9]
6-27-5
Paolini J.[6]
Linette M.
6-36-2
Eala A.
Swiatek I.[2]
6-27-5
Pegula J.[4]
Raducanu E.
6-46-736-2
R16
Eala A.
Badosa P.[10]
W/O
Zheng Q.[9]
Krueger A.
6-27-63
Paolini J.[6]
Osaka N.
3-66-46-4
Linette M.
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Svitolina E.[22]
7-656-3
Raducanu E.
Anisimova A.[17]
6-16-3
Pegula J.[4]
Kostyuk M.[23]
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Collins D.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Paolini J.[6]
Jabeur O.[31]
4-3
Raducanu E.
Kessler M.
6-13-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Ruse E.
6-10-0
Osaka N.
Baptiste H.
7-663-66-4
Anisimova A.[17]
Andreeva M.[11]
7-652-66-3
Collins D.[14]
Masarova R.
6-43-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Mertens E.[27]
7-626-1
Svitolina E.[22]
Muchova K.[15]
6-23-66-2
Pegula J.[4]
Kalinskaya A.[32]
6-736-27-62
Badosa P.[10]
Tauson C.[20]
6-37-63
Eala A.
Keys M.[5]
6-46-2
Linette M.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-56-4
Krueger A.
Fernandez L.[26]
6-17-5
Gauff C.[3]
Sakkari M.[28]
6-26-4
Zheng Q.[9]
Townsend T.
6-17-63
Kostyuk M.[23]
Blinkova A.
6-26-1
R64
Muchova K.[15]
Azarenka V.
6-00-0
Townsend T.
Putintseva Y.[19]
7-621-66-1
Andreeva M.[11]
Kudermetova V.
6-06-2
Gauff C.[3]
Kenin S.
6-06-0
Fruhvirtova L.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Navarro E.[8]
7-662-67-63
Paolini J.[6]
Sramkova R.
6-46-4
Tauson C.[20]
Grabher J.
6-47-5
Eala A.
Ostapenko J.[25]
7-627-5
Svitolina E.[22]
Bencic B.
6-16-2
Kalinskaya A.[32]
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[9]
Davis L.
6-17-5
Kostyuk M.[23]
Birrell K.
7-54-66-3
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[24]
6-26-4
Linette M.
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-656-2
Anisimova A.[17]
Sherif M.
6-26-2
Keys M.[5]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Fernandez L.[26]
Parks A.
7-616-3
Collins D.[14]
Cirstea S.
6-47-63
Sabalenka A.[1]
Tomova V.
6-36-0
Sakkari M.[28]
Bronzetti L.
6-35-76-4
Ruse E.
Frech M.[29]
6-46-4
Baptiste H.
Kasatkina D.[12]
3-66-47-5
Masarova R.
Vekic D.[21]
6-16-3
Mertens E.[27]
Stearns P.
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Garcia C.
6-27-5
Badosa P.[10]
Mboko V.
7-51-67-63
Pegula J.[4]
Pera B.
6-46-4
Blinkova A.
Shnaider D.[13]
6-47-60
Kessler M.
Noskova L.[30]
2-67-57-64
Jabeur O.[31]
Siniakova K.
6-47-67
Krueger A.
Rybakina E.[7]
6-42-66-4
R128
Parks A.
Gracheva V.
3-67-606-3
Bronzetti L.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-3
Ruse E.
Kudermetova P.
6-16-756-2
Kudermetova V.
Wang X.
6-27-65
Townsend T.
Li A.
3-66-46-2
Uchijima M.
Lamens S.
6-46-3
Blinkova A.
Rakhimova K.
4-66-36-2
Raducanu E.
Ishii S.
6-26-1
Grabher J.
Grant T.
6-46-4
Mboko V.
Osorio C.
7-55-76-3
Stearns P.
Boulter K.
6-46-2
Bencic B.
Yastremska D.
6-41-67-5
Azarenka V.
Kalinina A.
6-36-1
Garcia C.
Bondar A.
6-07-65
Sherif M.
Sun L.
7-51-66-4
Baptiste H.
Danilovic O.
6-36-756-1
Krueger A.
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Cirstea S.
Cocciaretto E.
6-37-65
Kenin S.
Kvitova P.
6-47-5
Tomova V.
Mcnally C.
6-32-66-3
Davis L.
Ito A.
6-43-66-4
Masarova R.
Minnen G.
6-746-47-5
Birrell K.
Potapova A.
3-66-37-65
Pera B.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-2
Kessler M.
Bouzkova M.
6-42-66-4
Siniakova K.
Yuan Y.
6-22-67-64
Fruhvirtova L.
Liu C.
7-54-66-3
Linette M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
7-636-2
Eala A.
Volynets K.
6-37-63
Avanesyan E.
Andreeva E.
6-16-746-4
Sramkova R.
Stefanini L.
3-66-16-3
Osaka N.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-66-46-3