Rebeka Masarova vs Maya JointMiami Qualifying Round 2

Miami · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#166WTA
1773ELO
1693Hard ELO
26 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
hard
#77WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Masarova R.
6-1 7-6
Joint M.
Masarova R.
6772
Joint M.
163

Rebeka Masarova defeated Maya Joint 6-1 7-6 in the Miami qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maya Joint came in ranked #77.

Key context

  • Match story: Rebeka Masarova came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Masarova R.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Joint M.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Masarova R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Masarova R.Joint M.
Serve
17
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.4
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
66
77
Break points saved·Clear edge
91
76
Break points won·Dominant
72
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
77
Tiebreaks·
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3+36 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.7Hard Elo 1657
4.1Overall Elo 1773
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1659
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
93

Masarova R.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Joint M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast