Ashlyn Krueger vs Leylah Fernandez — Miami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
USA
Ashlyn Krueger
#102WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
hard
Leylah Fernandez
CAN26
Leylah Fernandez
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Krueger A.
6-1 7-5
Fernandez L.
Krueger A.
672
Fernandez L.
150

Ashlyn Krueger defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-1 7-5 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #24, defending last year's round of 32. Ashlyn Krueger extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ashlyn Krueger came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-03Abu DhabiQFhardAshlyn Krueger7-5 4-6 6-2
2024-08-05TorontoR32hardAshlyn Krueger6-4 6-2
2024-06-24EastbourneR16grassLeylah Fernandez6-2 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Krueger A.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Serve advantage — Fernandez L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Krueger A.Fernandez L.
37
Serve
60
7
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Krueger A.Fernandez L.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Krueger A.Fernandez L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
79
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
95
Break points won·Slight edge
85
95
Deciding sets·Even
92
90
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
66
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Krueger A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Fernandez L.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1723
Surface ELO
6.6+61 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1791
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1805
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.8
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
8.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
4.0
5.3
Country comfort
4.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Krueger A.Fernandez L.
Freshness·Clear edge
83
98

Krueger A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pegula J.[4]
7-56-2
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.[6]
6-26-2
Pegula J.[4]
Eala A.
7-635-76-3
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[9]
6-27-5
Paolini J.[6]
Linette M.
6-36-2
Eala A.
Swiatek I.[2]
6-27-5
Pegula J.[4]
Raducanu E.
6-46-736-2
R16
Eala A.
Badosa P.[10]
W/O
Zheng Q.[9]
Krueger A.
6-27-63
Paolini J.[6]
Osaka N.
3-66-46-4
Linette M.
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Svitolina E.[22]
7-656-3
Raducanu E.
Anisimova A.[17]
6-16-3
Pegula J.[4]
Kostyuk M.[23]
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Collins D.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Paolini J.[6]
Jabeur O.[31]
4-3
Raducanu E.
Kessler M.
6-13-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Ruse E.
6-10-0
Osaka N.
Baptiste H.
7-663-66-4
Anisimova A.[17]
Andreeva M.[11]
7-652-66-3
Collins D.[14]
Masarova R.
6-43-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Mertens E.[27]
7-626-1
Svitolina E.[22]
Muchova K.[15]
6-23-66-2
Pegula J.[4]
Kalinskaya A.[32]
6-736-27-62
Badosa P.[10]
Tauson C.[20]
6-37-63
Eala A.
Keys M.[5]
6-46-2
Linette M.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-56-4
Krueger A.
Fernandez L.[26]
6-17-5
Gauff C.[3]
Sakkari M.[28]
6-26-4
Zheng Q.[9]
Townsend T.
6-17-63
Kostyuk M.[23]
Blinkova A.
6-26-1
R64
Muchova K.[15]
Azarenka V.
6-00-0
Townsend T.
Putintseva Y.[19]
7-621-66-1
Andreeva M.[11]
Kudermetova V.
6-06-2
Gauff C.[3]
Kenin S.
6-06-0
Fruhvirtova L.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Navarro E.[8]
7-662-67-63
Paolini J.[6]
Sramkova R.
6-46-4
Tauson C.[20]
Grabher J.
6-47-5
Eala A.
Ostapenko J.[25]
7-627-5
Svitolina E.[22]
Bencic B.
6-16-2
Kalinskaya A.[32]
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[9]
Davis L.
6-17-5
Kostyuk M.[23]
Birrell K.
7-54-66-3
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[24]
6-26-4
Linette M.
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-656-2
Anisimova A.[17]
Sherif M.
6-26-2
Keys M.[5]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Fernandez L.[26]
Parks A.
7-616-3
Collins D.[14]
Cirstea S.
6-47-63
Sabalenka A.[1]
Tomova V.
6-36-0
Sakkari M.[28]
Bronzetti L.
6-35-76-4
Ruse E.
Frech M.[29]
6-46-4
Baptiste H.
Kasatkina D.[12]
3-66-47-5
Masarova R.
Vekic D.[21]
6-16-3
Mertens E.[27]
Stearns P.
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Garcia C.
6-27-5
Badosa P.[10]
Mboko V.
7-51-67-63
Pegula J.[4]
Pera B.
6-46-4
Blinkova A.
Shnaider D.[13]
6-47-60
Kessler M.
Noskova L.[30]
2-67-57-64
Jabeur O.[31]
Siniakova K.
6-47-67
Krueger A.
Rybakina E.[7]
6-42-66-4
R128
Parks A.
Gracheva V.
3-67-606-3
Bronzetti L.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-3
Ruse E.
Kudermetova P.
6-16-756-2
Kudermetova V.
Wang X.
6-27-65
Townsend T.
Li A.
3-66-46-2
Uchijima M.
Lamens S.
6-46-3
Blinkova A.
Rakhimova K.
4-66-36-2
Raducanu E.
Ishii S.
6-26-1
Grabher J.
Grant T.
6-46-4
Mboko V.
Osorio C.
7-55-76-3
Stearns P.
Boulter K.
6-46-2
Bencic B.
Yastremska D.
6-41-67-5
Azarenka V.
Kalinina A.
6-36-1
Garcia C.
Bondar A.
6-07-65
Sherif M.
Sun L.
7-51-66-4
Baptiste H.
Danilovic O.
6-36-756-1
Krueger A.
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Cirstea S.
Cocciaretto E.
6-37-65
Kenin S.
Kvitova P.
6-47-5
Tomova V.
Mcnally C.
6-32-66-3
Davis L.
Ito A.
6-43-66-4
Masarova R.
Minnen G.
6-746-47-5
Birrell K.
Potapova A.
3-66-37-65
Pera B.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-2
Kessler M.
Bouzkova M.
6-42-66-4
Siniakova K.
Yuan Y.
6-22-67-64
Fruhvirtova L.
Liu C.
7-54-66-3
Linette M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
7-636-2
Eala A.
Volynets K.
6-37-63
Avanesyan E.
Andreeva E.
6-16-746-4
Sramkova R.
Stefanini L.
3-66-16-3
Osaka N.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-66-46-3