Maria Lourdes Carle vs Sara BejlekAntalya 125 1 Round of 32

Antalya 125 1 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#218WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
clay
#42WTA
1776ELO
1724Clay ELO
$575kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLWLLL
Carle M.
6-2 6-1
Bejlek S.
Carle M.
662
Bejlek S.
21

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Sara Bejlek 6-2 6-1 in the Antalya 125 1 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sara Bejlek came in ranked #42, but Maria Lourdes Carle had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving26% hold

wins 40% of points on serve vs Bejlek S.

Bejlek S.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
58%
Aces / match·Even
0.8
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
79
Break points saved·Dominant
26
77
Break points won·Even
97
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
55
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Clay Elo 1461
Surface ELO
8.9+263 Clay Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 1776
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
7.4
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Carle M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Bejlek S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast