Chloe Paquet vs Emiliana Arango — Antalya 125 1 Round of 32

Antalya 125 1 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Chloe Paquet
FRA
Chloe Paquet
#297WTA
1479ELO
1456Clay ELO
32 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
clay
Emiliana Arango
COL
Emiliana Arango
#96WTA
1624ELO
1553Clay ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
Paquet C.
3-6 7-5 6-2
Arango E.
Paquet C.
3762
Arango E.
6521

Chloe Paquet defeated Emiliana Arango 3-6 7-5 6-2 in the Antalya 125 1 round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Emiliana Arango came in ranked #96, but Chloe Paquet had been the form player, winning 2 of their last 4 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paquet C.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Arango E.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Paquet C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Paquet C.Arango E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Even
43%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paquet C.Arango E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
57
Break points saved·Slight edge
51
56
Break points won·Clear edge
69
81
Deciding sets·Dominant
0
70
Tiebreaks·Dominant
29
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paquet C.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Arango E.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.0Clay Elo 1456
Surface ELO
7.0+98 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1624
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
4.7
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paquet C.Arango E.
Freshness·
—
89

Arango E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Todoni A.
Romero Gormaz L.
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Romero Gormaz L.
Chwalinska M.
4-66-36-4
Todoni A.
Burel C.
6-23-2
Quarter-finals
Burel C.
Paquet C.
6-26-4
Todoni A.
Rus A.
6-746-46-2
Romero Gormaz L.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-16-0
Chwalinska M.
Jacquemot E.
6-06-777-5
R16
Paquet C.
Zidansek T.
6-46-3
Burel C.
Semenistaja D.
6-26-2
Rus A.
Zakharova A.
6-16-2
Todoni A.
Fett J.
6-36-2
Romero Gormaz L.
Seidel E.
6-16-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Teichmann J.
6-26-2
Jacquemot E.
Erjavec V.
6-16-4
Chwalinska M.
Carle M.
7-626-4
R32
Zidansek T.
Noha Akugue N.
2-66-36-4
Semenistaja D.
Pridankina E.
6-736-46-2
Burel C.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-12-66-3
Rus A.
Aksu A.
4-66-06-3
Zakharova A.
Kumru A.
6-16-4
Fett J.
Rouvroy M.
2-66-16-3
Todoni A.
Udvardy P.
4-66-46-2
Seidel E.
Selekhmeteva O.
7-56-0
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Dilek D.
6-36-0
Teichmann J.
Riera J.
6-24-67-5
Carle M.
Bejlek S.
6-26-1
Chwalinska M.
Diyas Z.
6-36-1
Jacquemot E.
Buyukakcay C.
6-26-1
Erjavec V.
Parry D.
7-56-4
Romero Gormaz L.
Wei S.
6-46-4
Paquet C.
Arango E.
3-67-56-2