Valeriya Strakhova vs Katarzyna KawaW50 Vacaria Round of 16

W50 Vacaria · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#573WTA
1179ELO
1199Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 March 2025
clay
#142WTA
1664ELO
1662Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Strakhova V.
2-6 6-4 6-4
Kawa K.
Strakhova V.
2662
Kawa K.
6441

Valeriya Strakhova defeated Katarzyna Kawa 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the W50 Vacaria round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Katarzyna Kawa came in ranked #142, but Valeriya Strakhova had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Strakhova V.serving31% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Kawa K.

Kawa K.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Strakhova V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
51%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
2
51
Break points saved·Clear edge
1
15
Break points won·Slight edge
86
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
87
Tiebreaks·
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.3Clay Elo 1199
Surface ELO
9.7+464 Clay Elo edge
0.1Overall Elo 1179
ELO gap
9.9Overall Elo 1664
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
6.8
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
97

Strakhova V.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kawa K.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast