Nerman Fatic vs Timofey SkatovZadar CH Round of 32

Zadar CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#396ATP
1496ELO
1478Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 March 2025
clay
#163ATP
1544ELO
1531Clay ELO
$107kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLLL
Fatic N.
6-2 7-6
Skatov T.
Fatic N.
6772
Skatov T.
2630

Nerman Fatic defeated Timofey Skatov 6-2 7-6 in the Zadar CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Timofey Skatov came in ranked #163, defending last year's semi-final, but Nerman Fatic had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Nerman Fatic closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fatic N.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Skatov T.

Skatov T.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Fatic N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (54 vs 99). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
24
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
63
81
Break points won·Slight edge
36
27
Deciding sets·Even
24
28
Tiebreaks·Even
35
31

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 168 days (−1.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1478
Surface ELO
5.5+53 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1496
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1544
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
3.4
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.3
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Skatov T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 89 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast