Colton Smith vs Roman SafiullinPhoenix CH Round of 16

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#181ATP
1577ELO
1566Hard ELO
$154kYTD
$480kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#96ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Smith C.
6-4 7-6
Safiullin R.
Smith C.
6772
Safiullin R.
4620

Colton Smith defeated Roman Safiullin 6-4 7-6 in the Phoenix CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Roman Safiullin came in ranked #96, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith C.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Smith C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.1
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
62
68
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Slight edge
52
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1566
Surface ELO
7.7+138 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1577
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 1750
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.9
Surface form
4.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Smith C.: 19 days rest · Safiullin R.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast