Reilly Opelka vs Arthur RinderknechPhoenix CH Round of 32

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
Opelka R.
4-6 7-5 7-5
Rinderknech A.
Opelka R.
4772
Rinderknech A.
6551

Reilly Opelka defeated Arthur Rinderknech 4-6 7-5 7-5 in the Phoenix CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Rinderknech came in ranked #28, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Reilly Opelka claimed a first win over Arthur Rinderknech in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubR16grassArthur Rinderknech7-5 7-6(3)
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardArthur Rinderknech6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Rinderknech A.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Rinderknech A.
86
Serve
51
0
Return
1

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
28%
32%
Break points saved·Even
73%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
16.8
9.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
63
58
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
1
6
Deciding sets·Even
88
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1734
Surface ELO
5.3+14 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1780
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
1.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Rinderknech A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast