Li Tu vs Adrian MannarinoPhoenix CH Qualifying Round 1

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#464ATP
1488ELO
1471Hard ELO
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Tu L.
7-5 6-2
Mannarino A.
Tu L.
762
Mannarino A.
520

Li Tu defeated Adrian Mannarino 7-5 6-2 in the Phoenix CH qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #49. Li Tu extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Li Tu closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonQ3grassAdrian Mannarino3-6 6-3 6-4 6-4
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersQ1hardLi Tu6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tu L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tu L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tu L.Mannarino A.
Serve
38
Return
33

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.1
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
96
Break points won·Dominant
8
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
64
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1471
Surface ELO
6.9+176 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1488
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1673
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.3
Surface form
0.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

Mannarino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast