Hugo Gaston vs Adam WaltonPhoenix CH Round of 32

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#107ATP
1622ELO
1628Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#79ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Gaston H.
6-2 6-4
Walton A.
Gaston H.
662
Walton A.
240

Hugo Gaston defeated Adam Walton 6-2 6-4 in the Phoenix CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adam Walton came in ranked #79, defending last year's round of 32, but Hugo Gaston had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gaston H.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gaston H.Walton A.
Serve
35
Return
17

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
6.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
65
Break points saved·Even
91
95
Break points won·Dominant
57
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1628
Surface ELO
4.9+41 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
7.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
6.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
51
54

Gaston H.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 128 games (7d) · Walton A.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 122 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast