Hugo Gaston vs Reilly Opelka — Phoenix CH Round of 16

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Hugo Gaston
FRA
Hugo Gaston
#107ATP
1622ELO
1628Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
Reilly Opelka
USA
Reilly Opelka
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Gaston H.
7-6 6-3
Opelka R.
Gaston H.
7862
Opelka R.
6630

Hugo Gaston defeated Reilly Opelka 7-6 6-3 in the Phoenix CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Hugo Gaston came in ranked #107, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Hugo Gaston closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gaston H.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Opelka R.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gaston H.Opelka R.
—
Serve
86
—
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Gaston H.Opelka R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
28%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.8
17.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gaston H.Opelka R.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
100
Break points won·Dominant
57
1
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
88
Tiebreaks·Even
93
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaston H.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Opelka R.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1628
Surface ELO
6.2+106 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1749
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
4.8
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
9.1
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gaston H.Opelka R.
Freshness·
51
—

Gaston H.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Fonseca J.
Bublik A.
7-657-60
Semi-finals
Fonseca J.
Nishikori K.
6-36-3
Bublik A.
Borges N.[1]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Bublik A.
Moutet C.
2-67-647-5
Nishikori K.
Cobolli F.[2]
6-24-66-4
Borges N.[1]
Smith C.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Gaston H.
6-46-4
R16
Borges N.[1]
Fearnley J.
6-27-5
Smith C.
Safiullin R.[7]
6-47-62
Bublik A.
Hijikata R.
6-25-76-3
Gaston H.
Opelka R.
7-666-3
Fonseca J.
Struff J.[4]
6-14-66-3
Moutet C.
Martinez P.[3]
6-46-3
Nishikori K.
Kukushkin M.
6-32-1
Cobolli F.[2]
Spizzirri E.
6-35-77-5
R32
Hijikata R.
Holt B.
7-607-63
Smith C.
Shevchenko A.
6-17-5
Bublik A.
Vukic A.[5]
6-33-66-3
Opelka R.
Rinderknech A.[8]
4-67-57-5
Fonseca J.
Kotov P.
6-26-4
Nishikori K.
Nardi L.[6]
6-46-3
Spizzirri E.
Tu L.
6-46-2
Safiullin R.[7]
Eubanks C.
7-626-1
Gaston H.
Walton A.
6-26-4
Kukushkin M.
Uchiyama Y.
6-46-2
Moutet C.
Basilashvili N.
6-36-2
Fearnley J.
Duckworth J.
7-636-3