Joao Fonseca vs Jan Lennard StruffPhoenix CH Round of 16

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#41ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Fonseca J.
6-1 4-6 6-3
Struff J.
Fonseca J.
6462
Struff J.
1631

Joao Fonseca defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-1 4-6 6-3 in the Phoenix CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27.

Key context

  • Match story: Joao Fonseca came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fonseca J.Struff J.
48
Serve
36
38
Return
41

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
8.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
61
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Clear edge
43
21
Deciding sets·Clear edge
89
68
Tiebreaks·Even
96
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+280 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1634
7.9Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
71

Fonseca J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Struff J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast