Joao Fonseca vs Pavel KotovPhoenix CH Round of 32

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#246ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
Fonseca J.
6-2 6-4
Kotov P.
Fonseca J.
662
Kotov P.
240

Joao Fonseca defeated Pavel Kotov 6-2 6-4 in the Phoenix CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Kotov P.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fonseca J.Kotov P.
48
Serve
38
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.8
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (64 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
59
Break points saved·Even
97
94
Break points won·Dominant
43
13
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+313 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1601
8.5Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1597
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Fonseca J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast