Kei Nishikori vs Flavio CobolliPhoenix CH Quarter-final

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#717ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#9ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Nishikori K.
6-2 4-6 6-4
Cobolli F.
Nishikori K.
6462
Cobolli F.
2641

Kei Nishikori defeated Flavio Cobolli 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the Phoenix CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #9.

Key context

  • Match story: Kei Nishikori closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nishikori K.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishikori K.Cobolli F.
Serve
20
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
76
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Dominant
74
35
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
97
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1680
Surface ELO
6.6+129 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1714
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1896
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
1.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
8.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
71

Cobolli F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast