Alexander Bublik vs Rinky HijikataPhoenix CH Round of 16

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#97ATP
1748ELO
1694Hard ELO
$601kYTD
$4.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLW
Bublik A.
6-2 5-7 6-3
Hijikata R.
Bublik A.
6562
Hijikata R.
2731

Alexander Bublik defeated Rinky Hijikata 6-2 5-7 6-3 in the Phoenix CH round of 16 on hard. Alexander Bublik claimed a first win over Rinky Hijikata in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardRinky Hijikata6-7(3) 7-6(3) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Hijikata R.

Hijikata R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Hijikata R.
65
Serve
21
25
Return
26

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.8
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 102). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
66
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Dominant
67
26
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
81
Tiebreaks·Even
96
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+143 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1694
7.7Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1748
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.9
Surface form
3.1
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
95

Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Hijikata R.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast