Alexander Bublik vs Nuno Borges — Phoenix CH Semi-final

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
Nuno Borges
POR1
Nuno Borges
#52ATP
1769ELO
1714Hard ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Bublik A.
6-3 6-4
Borges N.
Bublik A.
662
Borges N.
340

Alexander Bublik defeated Nuno Borges 6-3 6-4 in the Phoenix CH semi-final on hard. Alexander Bublik claimed a first win over Nuno Borges in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-06Rome MastersR64clayNuno Borges6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Borges N.

Borges N.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Borges N.
65
Serve
36
25
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Borges N.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.8
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Borges N.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
77
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
67
54
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Borges N.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+123 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1714
7.5Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1769
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.9
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Borges N.
Freshness·Clear edge
78
96

Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Borges N.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Fonseca J.
Bublik A.
7-657-60
Semi-finals
Fonseca J.
Nishikori K.
6-36-3
Bublik A.
Borges N.[1]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Bublik A.
Moutet C.
2-67-647-5
Nishikori K.
Cobolli F.[2]
6-24-66-4
Borges N.[1]
Smith C.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Gaston H.
6-46-4
R16
Borges N.[1]
Fearnley J.
6-27-5
Smith C.
Safiullin R.[7]
6-47-62
Bublik A.
Hijikata R.
6-25-76-3
Gaston H.
Opelka R.
7-666-3
Fonseca J.
Struff J.[4]
6-14-66-3
Moutet C.
Martinez P.[3]
6-46-3
Nishikori K.
Kukushkin M.
6-32-1
Cobolli F.[2]
Spizzirri E.
6-35-77-5
R32
Hijikata R.
Holt B.
7-607-63
Smith C.
Shevchenko A.
6-17-5
Bublik A.
Vukic A.[5]
6-33-66-3
Opelka R.
Rinderknech A.[8]
4-67-57-5
Fonseca J.
Kotov P.
6-26-4
Nishikori K.
Nardi L.[6]
6-46-3
Spizzirri E.
Tu L.
6-46-2
Safiullin R.[7]
Eubanks C.
7-626-1
Gaston H.
Walton A.
6-26-4
Kukushkin M.
Uchiyama Y.
6-46-2
Moutet C.
Basilashvili N.
6-36-2
Fearnley J.
Duckworth J.
7-636-3