Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Mattia BellucciCap Cana CH Round of 32

Cap Cana CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 11 March 2025
hard
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Kovacevic A.
6-4 6-4
Bellucci M.
Kovacevic A.
662
Bellucci M.
440

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-4 6-4 in the Cap Cana CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Aleksandar Kovacevic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-27MontpellierR16hardAleksandar Kovacevic7-5 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Kovacevic A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kovacevic A.Bellucci M.
52
Serve
0
0
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.7
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (93 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
53
60
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Slight edge
4
10
Deciding sets·Even
81
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1611
Surface ELO
5.7+67 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1720
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.1
Surface form
5.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Kovacevic A.: 15 days rest · Bellucci M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast