Mingge Xu vs Kyoka Okamura — W50 Kyoto Round of 16

W50 Kyoto · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
GBR
Mingge Xu
1405ELO
1377Hard ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 March 2025
hard
Kyoka Okamura
JPN
Kyoka Okamura
#256WTA
1435ELO
1388Hard ELO
30 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
Xu M.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Okamura K.
Xu M.
3662
Okamura K.
6341

Mingge Xu defeated Kyoka Okamura 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the W50 Kyoto round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Xu M.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Okamura K.

Okamura K.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Xu M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Xu M.Okamura K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Xu M.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Okamura K.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1377
Surface ELO
5.5+11 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1405
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1435
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
5.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Xu M.Okamura K.
Freshness·
98
—

Xu M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Saito S.
Sakatsume H.
6-47-62
Semi-finals
Sakatsume H.
Shimizu A.
6-16-3
Saito S.
Jones E.
1-67-56-3
Quarter-finals
Shimizu A.
Xu M.
6-736-26-2
Saito S.
Omae A.
6-16-2
Jones E.
Liang E.
5-2
Sakatsume H.
Zhang Y.
6-33-0
R16
Jones E.
Kinoshita H.
6-36-3
Omae A.
Yamaguchi M.
6-16-3
Saito S.
Akita S.
6-36-2
Shimizu A.
Park S.
6-46-2
Zhang Y.
Wang M.
7-56-786-4
Xu M.
Okamura K.
3-66-36-4
Liang E.
Imamura S.
6-36-4
Sakatsume H.
Matsuda R.
6-36-4
R32
Wang M.
Kobori M.
6-26-1
Omae A.
Koshiishi A.
6-26-736-1
Saito S.
Arakawa H.
6-36-1
Liang E.
Kung L.
6-33-67-5
Shimizu A.
Tsutsumi K.
6-26-2
Akita S.
Hayasaka K.
4-66-27-5
Zhang Y.
Ma Y.
7-54-66-3
Okamura K.
Kuwata H.
7-56-1
Park S.
Kaji H.
6-16-2
Yamaguchi M.
Yamazaki I.
4-66-16-3
Xu M.
Giavara H.
6-36-2
Matsuda R.
Kuramochi M.
5-76-47-5
Imamura S.
Kozaki F.
6-36-3
Sakatsume H.
Nagata A.
6-16-3
Kinoshita H.
Kawaguchi N.
4-66-27-5
Jones E.
Kobayashi H.
6-11-66-2